WarActive war is the least likely consequence of the rising tensions in Ukraine.In theory, if NATO pushed for Ukraine to join its ranks, Mr Putin c
Active war is the least likely consequence of the rising tensions in Ukraine.
In theory, if NATO pushed for Ukraine to join its ranks, Mr Putin could view it as an act of aggression with the organisation now on Russia’s doorstep.
He could openly retaliate, inviting challenges from other members looking to protect the newly initiated country.
The exact scale of such a conflict is unclear, but it could demand additional intervention from the UK.
Ultimately, however, it is unlikely to affect many Britons with little chance of a nuclear exchange.
Russia relies on Europe and its close neighbours as a significant source of capital and would not want to jeopardise this.
Mr Putin must also abide by nuclear arms limits contained in the new START pact, which he signed alongside Joe Biden in early 2021.
Under the pact – first signed in 2010 by Barack Obama and Dmitry Medvedev – each country must have no more than 1,550 deployed nuclear warheads and 700 missiles.